XRP starts 2026 under pressure despite SEC settlement, $1.4B spot ETF inflows

XRP entered 2026 facing downward pressure despite a year of significant achievements in 2025, including the resolution of its SEC lawsuit and the introduction of US spot ETFs. While the token reached $3.66 in value, it experienced a 50% drop to $1.58 by October, closing the year at $1.85. The launch of Spot XRP ETFs in November attracted $1.4 billion in inflows, representing 2.3% of the total supply, but failed to sustain a price rally.

Market indicators present a mixed picture: on-chain data shows declining active addresses (down 94% from a March peak), while exchange supply reached a low since 2018, suggesting holders are not selling. Technical analysis indicates a failure to maintain support above $2, with potential support zones between $1.85 and $1.80. Analysts predict potential price drops to $1.61 or $1.38 if support fails.

Looking ahead to 2026, expert opinions diverge. Some, like Peter Brandt, predict a price below $1 due to a potential double top formation, while others, including Chad Steingraber and Standard Chartered analysts, foresee significant gains, predicting prices of $10 and $8 respectively, driven by ETF purchases, favorable regulations, and continued market interest. The success of XRP in 2026 hinges on maintaining support at $1.80 and increasing network activity and ETF investment.

(Source：Invezz)